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Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tip

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Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tip

Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna predictions for this Basque derby in La Liga. Our betting tips suggest the hosts will run out victors.

Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna
When: 30th October, 15:15
Where: San Mames
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to Win & Over 2.5 Goals at 21/20 with bet365
Correct Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to Win 3-1 at 11/1 with bet365

Newly promoted Osasuna have looked out of their depth at this level at times this term, particularly at the back. They’ve conceded 2.11 goals per game on average so far and 2.75 on their travels so clearly there are issues that need addressing. Athletic boast one of the most dangerous forward lines in the league and they have all the tools required to be the latest side to expose Osasuna’s frailties in this match.

Despite a few shaky performances on the road, particularly in Europe, Athletic have won all of their last 4 home matches in all competitions and San Mames once again looks like it will be something of a fortress for them this term. They’ve netted twice or more in all of their last 3 home games in La Liga and they were all against stronger sides than Osasuna, so they will be very confident of securing all 3 points here.

Once again it is Aritz Aduriz who has been their main goal threat and the 36 year old has already bagged 5 goals in La Liga this term, 36% of Athletic’s goals. Against a leaky Osasuna defence, he should get chances to add to that and he often only needs one to get his name on the score sheet, so backing Aduriz to score any time at 8/11 looks a good shout here.

There certainly should be plenty of goals in this for Athletic but the visitors have every chance of getting on the score-sheet too. Athletic have conceded in all their home games in the league so far this term and have only managed 1 clean sheet in 9 La Liga outings. Both teams have scored in all of Osasuna’s away matches so there is clearly the potential for several goals in this game but you can’t look past a strong Athletic side winning it, given they have home advantage and given the visitors’ defensive issues.

Therefore, backing Athletic Bilbao to Win & Over 2.5 Goals at 21/20 looks to offer value.

HEAD TO HEAD
Athletic have won all of their last 7 home games against Osasuna in all competitions. Their last meeting was a 5-1 Athletic win at Osasuna in January 2014.

STATS
There have been over 2.5 goals in 78% of Athletic matches and 67% of Osasuna matches so far this season.

TEAM NEWS
Key men Aymeric Laporte and Aritz Aduriz both have ankle knocks but are expected to start. Mikel Balenziaga returns from suspension and should come in at left-back.

Emmanuel Riviere is suspended following a late red card last time out. Sergio Leon will be looking to add to his 4 goals up front alongside Oriol Riera in what is likely to be a 3-5-2 formation.

Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to Win & Over 2.5 Goals at 21/20 with bet365
Correct Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao to Win 3-1 at 11/1 with bet365

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