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Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tip

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Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tip

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg predictions for Saturday’s afternoon kick off in the Bundesliga.

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg
When: 29th October, 14:30
Where: Weserstadion
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score at 10/11 with bet365
Correct Score Prediction: Werder Bremen to Win 2-1 at 8/1 with bet365

Werder Bremen started their season with five consecutive competitive defeats (4 Bundesliga and 1 DFB Pokal), their worst ever start to a new campaign, before Alexander Nouri took over the reins as “interim coach”. Last weekend’s 3-1 defeat at RB Leipzig was always going to be a tricky fixture and Bremen should still be happy with the reasonable 7 points taken since he took the reins. Nouri has boldly handed starts to several players from the under-23’s, who have seemingly invigorated the deflated side. 21 year old Serge Gnabry is one such player. He scored Bremen’s only goal last weekend and has scored 3 goals in his last 5 appearances for club and country. He’s priced at 11/4 to score anytime and seems a decent shout given his current form.

Freiburg kept their perfect home record going with a 2-1 win at home to Augsburg last Saturday, extending their streak to nine consecutive home wins. Coach Christian Streich – the man who guided Freiburg to UEFA Europa League football in extraordinary fashion in 2013 – will, however, no doubt be disappointed to see this run come to an end at one of the easier hurdles. Freiburg were only able to play out a deadlocked 3-3 draw against 2. Bundesliga side Sandhausen in their mid-week DFB Pokal 2nd round match, failing to progress through to the 3rd round after penalties.

Werder Bremen are the bookies’ favourites ahead of this match at 11/8. While we also fancy the host’s chances here, given Freiburg have lost all four on the road so far, we feel Bremen’s inconsistency makes this a “riskier” bet. Bremen’s style of football does, however, bring out some of the most entertaining results in the Bundesliga and, as such, we feel that backing goals here has to be the safer bet. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score has landed in 18 of Bremen’s 25 (72%) Bundesliga matches in 2016, including all 7 of their most recent matches. Meanwhile, though Freiburg have struggled on the road, they have scored at least one in three of their four away matches so far – both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has landed in 3 of Freiburg’s 4 away matches (two 2-1 defeats and one 3-1 defeat).

Recent result trends indicate that a correct score of Werder Bremen to win 2-1 at 8/1 would also be a decent shout. Bremen’s two most recent wins have ended 2-1 and Freiburg have lost 2-1 in 2 of their 4 Bundesliga away matches (50%).

HEAD TO HEAD
Werder Bremen won 1-0 in Freiburg when the two sides last met in March 2015. Over 33 prior meetings between them, Werder Bremen have won 21, drawn 5 and lost just 7.

STATS
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has landed in all of Werder Bremen’s last seven Bundesliga matches and three of Freiburg’s four away matches so far this season (two 2-1 defeats and one 3-1 defeat).

TEAM NEWS
Werder Bremen are without a few players heading into this match: veteran Claudio Pizarro (14 goals over 28 appearances last season) is still recovering from a muscle injury and newly signed Max Kruse from Wolfsburg is out due to a ligament problem. Left winger Serge Gnabry, who signed from Arsenal over the summer, returned last weekend against RB Leipzig, scoring Bremen’s only goal. Defensive midfielder Philipp Bargfrede also remains doubtful.

Freiburg center back Marc-Oliver Kempf remains out until December. Loanee centre forward Florian Niederlechner, who has recently returned from an injury spell, featured and scored off the bench in Freiburg’s 2-1 defeat at Hoffenheim. Notable summer signings include defensive midfielder Jonas Meffert from Bayer Leverkusen, centre back Georg Niedermeier from Stuttgart, and right back Aleksandar Ignjovski from Frankfurt.

Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score at 10/11 with bet365
Correct Score Prediction: Werder Bremen to Win 2-1 at 8/1 with bet365

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